Olancho FC vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
RES
49%
23%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
ALI
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 2
ALI
13%
25%
62%
|
74 | 17 | 57 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 4
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 1
RES
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |