Alfredo Salinas vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 2
CIE
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
7 - 2
ALF
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
3 - 1
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 4
LOS
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALF
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 4
SRP
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |