Alfoz vs Folgueiro UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
71.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALF
4 - 0
ROU
56%
23%
22%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
ALF
54%
24%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 1
PON
17%
20%
64%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MUI
2 - 0
ALF
55%
23%
23%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 0
IBE
8%
16%
77%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Folgueiro UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
4 - 1
MON
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
FOL
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUI
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
IBE
3 - 2
FOL
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 2
XER
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |