Germany U17s vs Portugal U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DEU
2 - 0
IRL
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
HRV
3 - 3
DEU
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 1
DEU
11%
17%
72%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 1
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DEU
6 - 0
LIE
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PRT
3 - 0
HRV
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
PRT
4 - 1
IRL
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CZE
0 - 2
PRT
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
6 - 1
MNE
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 0
ALB
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |