Germany U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
DEU
17%
20%
63%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
DEU
4 - 0
HUN
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEU
16%
19%
65%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
DEU
4 - 0
LVA
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
DEU
4 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 11 | 70 | 0 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
UKR
3 - 3
FRA
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 4
FRA
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 38 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
SRB
77%
15%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
NIR
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
FRO
91%
7%
2%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |