Germany U20 vs France U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GER
2 - 3
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ROU
0 - 1
GER
15%
19%
66%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
GER
4 - 2
CZE
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
GER
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
21%
22%
58%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
FRA
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FRA
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
FRA
26%
22%
52%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
HND
1 - 3
FRA
19%
23%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |