Aldeano vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.8%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+498%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
ALD
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALD
4 - 0
CEN
63%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
ALD
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ILO
1 - 1
ALD
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 3
ALB
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 4
CEN
20%
20%
61%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDA
6 - 0
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 5
ILO
22%
20%
58%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALB
7 - 0
SPO
94%
5%
1%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |