Aldeano vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ILO
1 - 3
ALD
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALD
3 - 6
PRM
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALD
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALD
1 - 2
CDB
71%
15%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 0
SPO
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 3
CDB
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 4
MAR
12%
16%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
ILO
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PRM
2 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAR
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |