Aldeano vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ILO
1 - 1
ALD
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALD
5 - 1
TDN
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 3
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALD
16%
17%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
5 - 0
BAÑ
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
VAR
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
CFC
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
RAP
38%
22%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 2
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |