Aldeana vs Jesus Catalonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+705%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldeana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 1
ALD
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALD
2 - 2
CUA
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 1
ALD
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 1
VSC
39%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NSA
0 - 0
ALD
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jesus Catalonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JCA
2 - 2
NSA
10%
15%
76%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PMA
3 - 0
JCA
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
JCA
0 - 7
SEN
14%
16%
70%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JCA
1 - 0
JYM
8%
13%
80%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HIN
0 - 0
JCA
72%
16%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |