Alcazar CD vs San Cristóbal Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+225%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcazar CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
JCC
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
ALC
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 3
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALC
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
San Cristóbal Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCC
1 - 4
CDR
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JCC
3 - 0
SCC
81%
12%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 0
SCC
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SCC
1 - 1
TRE
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCC
2 - 0
CDB
41%
23%
37%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |