Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 2
LEG
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VCF
2 - 1
ALA
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
SEV
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 0
SDF
81%
15%
4%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 1
VCF
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VCF
2 - 1
ALA
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
VCF
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
VCF
4 - 0
UDL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
VCF
2 - 1
GIR
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |