Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 2
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 2
EIB
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
ALA
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 2
PON
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
RJA
0 - 0
DEP
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
RJA
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
MLL
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 2
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |