Atlético Alagoinhas vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALA
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 2
ALA
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
JAC
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
ASA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |