AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 1-4
Al-Shabab vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALS
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALS
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
ALS
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALS
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 3
ALA
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
AIN
1 - 1
ALI
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |