Saudi King's Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALS
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
3 - 2
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALN
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALN
5 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Fateh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 2
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALF
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALT
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ANS
2 - 1
ALF
19%
25%
57%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |