Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
96
1º
6º
1º
35
7º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
96 | 96 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 4
ALH
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 4
ALH
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ABH
1 - 3
ALH
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
3 - 0
ALR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
0 - 4
ALI
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 2
ALR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ALR
1 - 0
ALW
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |