UAE League Cup Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Al-Ain vs Al Nasr Dubai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
AIN
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
AHA
1 - 2
AIN
10%
16%
75%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
1 - 3
PAK
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAD
0 - 3
AIN
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 3
AIN
33%
25%
41%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ALK
3 - 1
ALN
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 1
WAH
16%
25%
59%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALN
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ALN
0 - 2
BAT
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SAD
3 - 3
ALN
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |