Al Ahly SC vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALM
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELD
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ASY
3 - 0
ALA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 1
HEL
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CON
3 - 0
USM
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
USM
1 - 3
CHL
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
USM
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
NCM
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 1
USM
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |