Al-Ahly vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALA
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
PIR
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PIR
1 - 1
ALA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
COT
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RCA
2 - 1
MON
26%
23%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VER
0 - 3
MON
23%
26%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |