Al Ahly SC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ASW
0 - 3
ALA
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALA
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 4
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 4
RMA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SES
0 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
COT
1 - 3
SUN
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
ALH
88%
10%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 2
RIB
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
SUF
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |