Al Ahly SC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALA
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
SUN
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SUN
3 - 3
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 2
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
COR
5 - 1
COT
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
COR
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |