Al Ahly SC vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 1
ALA
23%
23%
55%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
MED
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
ALA
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
AUC
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
3 - 1
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
SEP
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALK
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
OLM
1 - 2
ALI
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |