CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Al Ahly SC vs Al Ahly Benghazi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AAB
1 - 0
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
ALA
33%
31%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 1
EEE
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
YOU
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
YOU
1 - 0
ALA
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly Benghazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AAB
1 - 0
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALO
2 - 1
AAB
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AAB
2 - 0
BER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
AAB
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FED
2 - 0
AAB
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |