CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly Benghazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALO
2 - 1
AAB
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AAB
2 - 0
BER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
AAB
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FED
2 - 0
AAB
8%
16%
76%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
AAB
4 - 0
FED
83%
13%
4%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
ELD
1 - 0
ALA
33%
31%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 1
EEE
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
YOU
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
YOU
1 - 0
ALA
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 2
CSS
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |