Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
3º
41
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BVO
0 - 5
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
VOL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
46%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 0
RKC
37%
25%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RKC
3 - 1
GAE
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 0
FCE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 0
RKC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
RKC
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |