Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 2
AJA
78%
13%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AND
0 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
OFI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 0
RKC
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
NEC
19%
20%
62%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |