Ajax vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
5º
19
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
BHA
2 - 0
AJA
61%
20%
18%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
4 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 1
VOL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
UTR
22%
23%
56%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PSV
3 - 1
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 2
HER
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |