Conference League Last 16
Global 0-4
Ajax vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
64%
20%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
49%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
NEC
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
BOG
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUT
2 - 3
ASV
23%
24%
53%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 2
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
34%
24%
42%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
48%
24%
29%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |