Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
AJA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
TRO
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
REI
1 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
MPL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 2
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 1
LYO
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ETG
4 - 0
NIC
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
REN
0 - 3
NIC
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |