Aiolikos vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
12º
30
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
MYT
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MYT
0 - 2
AEK
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 0
MYT
44%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MYT
3 - 1
APO
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
3 - 1
MYT
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
MYT
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
IRA
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 0
IRA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 2
KAM
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
IRA
20%
26%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |