Aiolikos vs Apollon Kalamaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
11º
11
11º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
48% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
NIK
3 - 1
MYT
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MYT
0 - 3
LEV
10%
22%
68%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MYT
2 - 2
PTF
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MYT
77%
17%
6%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MYT
1 - 1
ANA
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
IRA
20%
26%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
KAM
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
APO
54%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
LEV
6%
20%
74%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
PTF
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |