Aguilarense Atl. vs Villaviciosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilarense Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
AGL
73%
16%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGL
1 - 1
MON
58%
20%
23%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 3
AGL
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AGL
2 - 4
CAM
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BJL
0 - 2
AGL
26%
22%
52%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villaviciosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 9
CAN
19%
19%
62%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
VIL
43%
21%
36%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALC
41%
21%
38%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 1
VIL
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
BJL
52%
20%
28%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |