Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-2
Aguia de Maraba vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 2
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
TOC
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |