Água Santa vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
INT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
ITU
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 2
JEC
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 0
JEQ
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
JAC
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAH
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
3 - 1
JAC
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |