Água Santa vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
81%
13%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 0
COR
18%
27%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |