Água Santa vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 1
JUV
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
URT
2 - 0
FER
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
NVE
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
FER
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |