Água Santa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
AGU
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
AGU
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAL
9%
21%
70%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
CAT
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
LON
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CRI
3 - 0
BOT
61%
25%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |