Agost vs Salesianos Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+266%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AGO
1 - 0
CAL
43%
21%
36%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 4
AGO
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 3
BEN
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AGO
2 - 3
UNI
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CUI
0 - 0
AGO
65%
17%
18%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Salesianos Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CUI
1 - 2
CSA
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
2 - 2
RAC
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 0
CSA
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 2
BFL
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AEY
3 - 3
CSA
56%
19%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |