Agost vs CF Intercity B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+569%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
AGO
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
AGO
0 - 0
CSA
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AGO
1 - 0
CAL
43%
21%
36%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 4
AGO
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 3
BEN
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CF Intercity B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ISJ
5 - 3
CUI
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 4
ISJ
27%
20%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 4
ISJ
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ISJ
1 - 1
BFL
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AEY
4 - 2
ISJ
46%
21%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |