Agost vs Callosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+266%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Agost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 4
AGO
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 3
BEN
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AGO
2 - 3
UNI
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CUI
0 - 0
AGO
65%
17%
18%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 1
RAC
18%
18%
64%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Callosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 4
CUI
40%
21%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
7 - 1
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
ALF
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BFL
8 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 6
AEY
22%
19%
59%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |