Afogados vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 1
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 3
AFO
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
0 - 2
AFO
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAT
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 0
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
VCR
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
3 - 2
ACA
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
5 - 1
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SED
2 - 0
VCR
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
9 - 1
MAI
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |