Afogados vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 1
AFO
87%
11%
3%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
AFO
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 1
AFO
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AFO
2 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
AFO
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
CRB
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
NAU
27%
23%
50%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
NAU
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |