AFC Leopards vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
9º
7º
23
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAZ
2 - 1
AFC
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 4
BFC
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 1
AFC
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
KAK
31%
27%
41%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
POS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TLT
3 - 2
MAT
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
MAT
64%
23%
14%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 4
SOF
20%
26%
55%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
ULI
3 - 1
MAT
63%
24%
14%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 2
NZO
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |