AFC Bournemouth vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BHA
3 - 1
BOU
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHL
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 2
BOU
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
2 - 3
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 2
TOT
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STO
1 - 3
HUL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
STO
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
STO
6 - 1
ROT
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |