AFC Bournemouth vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 0
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PNE
2 - 1
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
STO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BPO
1 - 2
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NTT
4 - 0
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BPO
4 - 1
REA
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
BIR
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PNE
2 - 3
REA
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |