AFC Bournemouth vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
4 - 1
BCF
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
BOU
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
STE
0 - 1
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 2
YEO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
NOT
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
0 - 0
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
SCU
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |