AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 1
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PNE
2 - 1
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
STO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BPO
1 - 2
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 1
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
MIL
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
POS
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |