AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
5º
6º
5º
63
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
WHU
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 1
ENO
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SKD
0 - 0
AEK
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AEL
2 - 1
AEK
30%
27%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
AEL
0 - 2
APO
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
AEK
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AKR
1 - 3
APO
10%
23%
67%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
APO
3 - 4
KAR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
APO
3 - 1
APO
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |