AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
53
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
OMO
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAP
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Anorthosis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAP
5 - 1
ANO
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 2
OMO
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
APO
0 - 2
ANO
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ANO
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |